Answer: (2) a forecast of 2 percent growth for sure, assuming the forecasts are equally reliable.
Core principle 5 - Stability improves welfare.
Explanation:
Based on the information given, I'll be more inclined to go ahead with the investment whereby there is a forecast of 2 percent growth for sure, assuming the forecasts are equally reliable.
It should be noted that when there's uncertainty about the future, it leads to the unattractiveness of investment. Here, the core principle illustrated is Core principle 5 - Stability improves welfare.